Harvora™ prediction brief
Seasonal dryness outlook
Harvora reads the season's dryness pressure from 41 years of regional rainfall history conditioned on the current ENSO state — climatology-informed planning context across 13 representative regions, published for exactly what it is.
Direct answer
What this supports
Seasonal dryness is a historical tilt on rainfall likelihood, explicitly a climatology read and never a forecast of a specific dry event.
Intended for New Zealand growers, technical partners, lenders and insurers.
Evidence and method
How the signal is formed
Regional rainfall history is conditioned on the ENSO state to produce a seasonal dryness tilt per representative region.
Evidence grade: ESTIMATE
Weather-benchmark measured today; every grower outcome logged in the product feeds the field benchmark it is measured against next.
Boundary
How to read this evidence
No seasonal forecast-skill validation exists at this range, and none is claimed. The surface is historical context for planning conversations — irrigation readiness, water budgets — and says so wherever it appears.
Sources and related evidence
- Open-Meteo historical forecast API · SOURCED
- Harvora public technical brief · SOURCED
- Harvora source register · SOURCED
Published 25 August 2026 · Last reviewed 25 August 2026 · Harvora technical review
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