Harvora™ model-card brief

Insect lifecycle and pest timing model card

This model card documents the method, evidence target and limitations for insect lifecycle and pest timing. Each stack is validated against the published degree-day science on 640 held-out rows; field-labelled rows are still at zero. Treat it as an advisory timing screen — your traps and scouting records are the ground truth, and the surface is designed to work alongside them.

Direct answer

What this supports

Pest surfaces project lifecycle stage windows from bounded degree-day models, with trap or scouting evidence kept separate from the weather-driven timing.

Intended for New Zealand growers, technical partners, lenders and insurers.

Evidence and method

How the signal is formed

Sourced degree-day thresholds drive stage-window projections per crop, sampled as distributions and gated on compatible artifacts.

Evidence grade: ESTIMATE

Weather-benchmark measured today; every grower outcome logged in the product feeds the field benchmark it is measured against next.

Boundary

How to read this evidence

Each stack is validated against the published degree-day science on 640 held-out rows; field-labelled rows are still at zero. Treat it as an advisory timing screen — your traps and scouting records are the ground truth, and the surface is designed to work alongside them.

Sources and related evidence

Published 25 August 2026 · Last reviewed 25 August 2026 · Harvora technical review

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